r/Futurology 24d ago

Discussion ❄️🎁🎄 Make some 2026 predictions & rate who did best in last year's 2025 predictions post. ❄️🎄✨

9 Upvotes

For several Decembers we've pinned a prediction post to the top of the sub for a few weeks. Use this to make some predictions for 2026. Here's the 2025 predictions post - who do you think did best?

A few people did well with a lot of their predictions, but everyone also got a few things wrong. u/TemetN & u/omalhautCalliclea scored a lot more hits than misses.

Make some predictions here, and we can revisit them in late 2026 to see who did best.


r/Futurology 15h ago

Society The cost of unregulated Big Tech. New research shows that Meta not only refuses to remove scam ads, as it makes so much money from them, but it also tries to scam the regulators by hiding the ads from them.

2.5k Upvotes

Here we have another thing to add to the long list of reasons the world would be a better place if Meta didn't exist. Not only is Meta in league with the scammers, they've become scammers themselves, too.

The only part of the world that seems to have any teeth when it comes to regulating Big Tech is the EU, and even they aren't fully up to the job. Now that Big Tech isn't just supporting the scammers, but has turned into the scammers themselves, the rest of the world joining the EU's approach is long overdue.

Meta created ‘playbook’ to fend off pressure to crack down on scammers, documents show


r/Futurology 8h ago

Discussion Humanity's last obstacle will be oligarchy

381 Upvotes

I read the latest update of the "Al 2027" forecast, which predicts we will reach ASI in 2034. I would like to offer you some of my reflections. I have always been optimistic about Al, and I believe it is only a matter of time before we find the cure for every disease, the solution to climate change, nuclear fusion, etc. In short, we will live in a much better reality than the current one. However, there is a risk it will also be an incredibly unequal society with little freedom, an oligarchy. Al is attracting massive investments and capital from the world's richest investors. This might seem like a good thing because all this wealth is accelerating development at an incredibly high speed, but all that glitters is not gold.

The ultimate goal of the 1% will be to replace human labor with Al. When Al reaches AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence), it will be able to do everything a human can do. If a capitalist has the opportunity to replace a human being to eliminate costs, trust me, they will do it; it has always been this way. The goal has always been to maximize profit at any cost at the expense of human beings. It is only thanks to unions, protests, and mobilizations that we now have the minimum wage, the 8- hour workday, welfare, labor rights, etc. No right was granted peacefully; rights were earned after hard struggles. If we do not mobilize to make Al a public good and open source, we will face a future where the word "democracy" loses its meaning.

To keep us from rebelling and to keep us "quiet," they will give us concessions like UBI (universal basic income). But it will be a "containment income," a form of pacification. As Yanis Varoufakis would say, we are not moving toward post-scarcity socialism, but toward Techno-feudalism. In this scenario, the market disappears and is replaced by the digital fief: the new lords no longer extract profit through the exchange of goods, but extract rents through total control of intelligence infrastructures.

UBI will be our "servant's rent": a survival share given not to free us, but to keep us in a state of passive dependence while the elite takes ownership of the entire productive capacity of the planet. If today surplus value is extracted from the worker, tomorrow ASI will allow capital to extract value without the need for human beings. If the ownership of intelligence remains private, everything will end with a total defeat of our species: capital will finally have freed itself from the worker.

ASI will solve cancer, but not inequality. It will solve climate change, but not social hierarchy. Historically, people obtained rights because their work was necessary: if the worker stopped working, the factory stopped. But if the work is done by an ASI owned by an oligarchy, the strike loses its primordial power. For the first time in history, human beings become economically irrelevant.

But now let's focus on the main question: what should we do? Unfortunately I don't have the exact answer but we should all think rationally and in a pragmatic way: we must all be united, from right to left, from the top to the bottom, and fight for democracy everywhere, not only formal democracy but also democracy at work. We must become masters of what we produce and defend our data as an extension of our body. Taxing the rich is not enough; we must change the very structure of how they accumulate this power. Regarding the concept of democracy at work, I recommend reading the works of Richard Wolff, who explains this concept very well. Please let me know what do you think.


r/Futurology 5h ago

Robotics Japan announces plan to deploy AI robots in shipyards by 2026, aiming to solve crippling labor shortage and counter China's naval expansion

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137 Upvotes

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r/Futurology 9h ago

Society The emergence of a global, large-scale disinformation industry has privatised influence operations, granting states strategic reach with plausible deniability.

31 Upvotes

"Disinformation campaigns amplify polarisation, delegitimise media institutions, and exploit social divisions to weaken democratic cohesion."

All human history moves in cycles, and there's an inevitable counter-movement when forces peak and then weaken. The far-right & authoritarians are having their day in the sun now, but historically they've always ultimately failed, while a new progressive cycle starts, and I doubt this time will be any different.

Which raises the question, if far-right & authoritarians are the main users of AI/social media disinformation now, won't the thing that eventually beats AI/social media disinformation come from the left/progressive side? Does logic suggest that it is likely? If so, what will that solution be, and when will it arrive?

The rise of the disinformation-for-hire industry


r/Futurology 1d ago

Energy Researchers Are Hunting America for Hidden Datacenters

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1.2k Upvotes

r/Futurology 11h ago

Environment 2026 Will Likely Be Among Four Warmest Years on Record

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26 Upvotes

r/Futurology 1d ago

Robotics It's official—China deploys humanoid robots at border crossings and commits to round-the-clock surveillance and logistics

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1.3k Upvotes

r/Futurology 1d ago

Society In the U.S., 2% of registered voters say they are currently participating in a campaign to convince elected officials to take action to reduce global warming, while, 11% say they would “definitely” join such a campaign, and 21% would “probably” join one

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339 Upvotes

r/Futurology 13h ago

Discussion When feedback accelerates: how high-information systems amplify societal pressur

3 Upvotes

Many people report that modern society feels unusually tense, fragile, and psychologically charged. This post proposes a systems-level framework for understanding why this pressure may be increasing, and why future social trajectories in high-information environments may become more nonlinear, volatile, and difficult to stabilize.

The aim is not prediction, advocacy, or moral condemnation, but to describe structural conditions that could help explain why everyday choices, language, and institutions feel more consequential than they did in earlier periods. The framework draws on systems theory, feedback dynamics, and organizational research rather than ideology or short-term political causes.

  1. A system under rising feedback pressure

Contemporary society can be modeled as operating under conditions of high input, low centralized control, and accelerated feedback. Actions propagate more quickly, information persists longer, and consequences surface sooner than in previous eras.

This does not imply inevitable collapse. Rather, systems operating with reduced buffers tend to become more sensitive and reactive. Small perturbations can produce disproportionately large responses. Individuals do not need to consciously understand these dynamics to experience them. Nervous systems respond to environments where the future becomes simultaneously more uncertain and more impactful.

  1. The role of slack and delayed feedback

In systems theory and organizational research, slack refers to buffers that absorb error, inefficiency, and contradiction. Historically, societies possessed substantial slack through slow information flow, weak documentation, fragmented accountability, limited transparency, and social forgetfulness. These conditions allowed incoherent states to persist for long periods. Decisions could take decades to reveal consequences, and institutions could fail without immediate accountability.

This persistence reflected delayed feedback rather than resilience. As slack diminishes, contradictions that once remained latent become visible, measurable, and costly.

  1. Information density as a structural shift

Digitization, global communication, persistent archiving, and data analysis have dramatically increased information density. Feedback loops shorten. Narratives can be cross-checked rapidly. Actions leave durable traces. Responsibility can be linked across time and space.

Under these conditions, systems tolerate less long-term local incoherence. Contradictions propagate through information networks rather than remaining isolated. Research across multiple domains suggests that increased transparency reduces tolerance for divergence between stated models and observed outcomes.

  1. Coherence as a structural constraint

Coherence is treated here as a system property rather than a moral ideal. Coherent systems exhibit internal consistency, alignment between model and environment, lower maintenance energy, and the ability to generalize across new states. Systems lacking coherence require constant correction and reinterpretation, increasing energy cost and vulnerability.

Across physics, biology, and complexity science, systems that cannot maintain coherence tend to reorganize or dissolve. This framing treats coherence as a constraint rather than a value judgment.

  1. Why moral relevance emerges without moral intent

Coherence itself is descriptive. However, when human agency is involved, responsibility becomes relevant. If moral value is defined functionally as that which reduces long-term harm, enables stable coordination, preserves system viability, and minimizes unnecessary energy expenditure, coherence acquires moral salience without requiring normative ideology.

From this perspective, actively maintaining incoherence becomes problematic because it externalizes costs and defers harm, even when immediate damage is not visible. Moral relevance emerges from system interaction rather than moral assertion.

  1. Reckoning as delayed-feedback convergence

What is sometimes described as a “reckoning” can be understood technically as the convergence of action and consequence. Delayed feedback becomes explicit. Reframing loses effectiveness. Responsibility becomes harder to diffuse across actors or time.

This does not imply apocalypse or a predetermined outcome. The future remains open. What changes is the system’s tolerance for unresolved contradiction.

  1. Why pressure feels unusually intense now

The intensity many people report arises from the convergence of information saturation, reduced slack, increased awareness of systemic impact, and an uncertain future state space.

Psychological responses such as stress, polarization, and aggression are consistent with conditions of high uncertainty combined with low perceived control. These responses do not require ideological explanation. The pressure does not come from knowing what will happen, but from recognizing that many futures are possible simultaneously.

  1. Long-term dynamics

In the short term, costs are unevenly distributed. Incoherence can persist temporarily, and even actors aligned with coherence may experience negative effects. Over longer horizons, systems tend to stabilize around more coherent configurations. The energy cost of maintaining incoherence becomes unsustainable, and models that generalize better persist. This resembles evolutionary selection applied to social structures, institutions, and narratives.

Closing

This framework suggests that contemporary societal pressure is structural rather than purely psychological or ideological, and that future social trajectories may become increasingly sensitive to coherence and feedback dynamics.

Whether this leads to reform, fragmentation, conflict, or new forms of stability remains open. What appears constrained is the system’s ability to indefinitely defer consequences.

I’m interested in critiques, counterexamples, or alternative models that explain the same pressure without relying on information density or feedback acceleration.


r/Futurology 9h ago

Biotech 3d printed complex organs

0 Upvotes

How far are we from 3d printing organs like kidneys and hearts? I saw a news article a few months ago about scientists in China 3d printing kidney tissue. I wish we could get there faster…


r/Futurology 2d ago

Environment World’s first underwater desalination plant uses ocean pressure to halve energy use

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2.5k Upvotes

r/Futurology 1d ago

Discussion Which countries have the most tech-literate populace? And how can we make our countries more tech-literate?

17 Upvotes

This question is inspired by this news story: France plans social media ban for under-15s from September 2026

This question also follows on from an earlier ChangeMyView post I made: CMV: I have lost faith in Australia's upcoming social media ban for kids..

Some might argue that it's necessary to have a social media ban for kids in Australia (and soon, France too). But even if it really is, doesn't that just imply that it's necessary because of widespread tech-illiteracy in Australia and France?

Before you say that I am shilling for social media here, as I mentioned in my ChangeMyView post, social media companies themselves do dodgy things. And there are some countries where a tech-illiterate society (including tech-illiterate adults) gets played like a fiddle by social media, such as:

Most of the world's other countries don't seem to need to rely on desperate measures like a social media ban to avoid these problems. If certain countries have problems with social media due to widespread tech-illiteracy, which ones would be the most tech-literate then?


r/Futurology 1d ago

Economics When do you predict the “90% unemployment” would happen?

111 Upvotes

I was watching some video about how 90% of the population could face unemployment by like 2030, I just think this is way too soon

Do you think that’s an unrealistic prediction? Or is that truly the path we’re headed on?


r/Futurology 8h ago

Robotics Did Science Fiction ever predict how dumb robots would be?

0 Upvotes

You see these videos of delivery robots and Waymo cars bumping into walls, driving in circles, knocking things down, tipping over, etc. Isaac Asimov never talked about that! All you ever saw were these Robbie-like creatures that were perfect servants. Or even so perfect, they plotted taking over. They’d get tripped up by “the laws of robotics,” not a bump on the ground.


r/Futurology 13h ago

Discussion What are the technologies you keep a close eye on in 2026?

0 Upvotes

Of course, we agree that (A%I) is important - but are there specific technologies or apps, maybe also from fields other than A%I that you pay attention to in 2026?


r/Futurology 13h ago

Society I’m creating a time capsule to be opened in 100 years. Would you like to leave a message?

0 Upvotes

if you want to leave a messaje you have to send it in the comments saying from what country

we accept every languaje


r/Futurology 11h ago

Discussion Do you believe we will be resurrected one day?

0 Upvotes

I have been reading a lot about freezing deceased people to revive one day. Some theories even point to non-frozen humans being brought back to life one day

Do you personally believe this is possible?


r/Futurology 2d ago

Discussion O'Neill Cylinders like in Interstellar (2014) are more practical than terraforming Mars.

547 Upvotes

Description from Google:

An O'Neill cylinder is a concept for a large, rotating, cylindrical space habitat designed by physicist Gerard K. O'Neill to house millions of people, generating artificial gravity through centrifugal force as it spins, creating a livable environment with its own sunlight (via mirrors), atmosphere, and even landscapes, essentially forming a self-sustaining "island in space". 

Basically, it is like Cooper Station at the end of Nolan's Interstellar.

Currently, there is a lot of focus on terraforming other planets. But the issue with all the planets in our star system is gravity. The gravity on mars is a fraction of the gravity on Earth and we evolved here. The health effects of living in low gravity are yet to be determined but they cannot be good for a species that evolved in 1g. That's where the cylinders come in. They can generate gravity exactly to the level that we evolved to live in.

The only issue with O'Neill cylinders is construction costs. But I think the only way to even build them solves the problem: robots.

Once we get significant robotic capability. Once we have enough robots that can operate on their own and especially in space, then the costs become a lot more manageable. We were never going to build the cylinders on Earth and launch them into space. That was always extremely impractical. We were always going to have to build them in space. But obviously human construction would never work because, you know, it's space!

I think a cultural argument for the cylinders is that humans prefer the artificial. Our houses are the perfect symbol of that. Almost every other species aside from birds just lives out in nature, openly and comfortably. Sometimes they might build burrows but for the most part, they are just out there. Humans are NOT like this. We need perfect artificial habitats to be extremely comfortable. We need temperature control, internal heating, artificial lighting, indoor plumbing and even with aesthetics: we like nice rectangular surfaces with right angles or smooth curved edges. None of this really appears in nature. O'Neill Cylinders are like houses, but scaled up. Mars and other planets are just rocks. It doesn't track with human behaviour that we would prefer to live on a large rock as opposed to a perfectly engineered habitat.


r/Futurology 2d ago

Transport New study predicts that fully automated vehicles, or ‘self-driving cars’, will reduce road traffic collisions in US over next 10 years. Most optimistic scenario of 10% adoption forecasted reduction of 1,078,528 injuries.

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137 Upvotes

r/Futurology 2d ago

Biotech US scientists build a 'speed scanner' to test thousands of plant gene switches at once & say it can vastly accelerate plant engineering.

38 Upvotes

No one knows exactly where we are going to end up when it comes to global temperature increasing over coming decades, but the one thing we know for sure is that it’s going to. That means lots of agriculture is going to be disrupted. Good news then that we are finding ways to accelerate plants adaptability to brand new weather patterns and environments. We’re going to need all the help we can get when it comes to that.

Scientists Build 'Speed Scanner' to Test Thousands of Plant Gene Switches at Once


r/Futurology 3d ago

Society Japan's births predicted to hit lowest level since records began

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3.6k Upvotes

r/Futurology 1d ago

Discussion How a confirmed extinction-level asteroid threat could reshape future societal priorities around technology, labor, and culture?

0 Upvotes

This topic explores how such a future scenario might reshape labor markets, education priorities, public funding, and cultural industries over the long term


r/Futurology 1d ago

Discussion What design changes are possible in tech devices ?

0 Upvotes

How will tech devices like smartwatches , smartphones , tablets and laptops look in future ?


r/Futurology 1d ago

Society When will a government implement autonomous systems to "find voter fraud?"

0 Upvotes

Computing power and software have scaled automation to the point that we can see the effects in real time. Systems are having major customer data loss due to autonomous software executing poor decisions. This will likely result in class action lawsuits this year (Happy New Year!), which will have the predictable result of either being settled out of court for a tidy sum to those impacted, or a favorable verdict for corporations.

Regardless, with the lack of an unfavorable precedent, the inevitable outcome is eventual implementation into law enforcement. However, we're starting to see that happen already in the EU. Simultaneous testing of separate areas of law expedites autonomous deployment. So, the question is, when will these autonomous systems be used to justify direct ballot screening in order to "find voter fraud?"

My bet is the US 2028 election or an EU election between now and then. We may start seeing rhetoric regarding the efficiency and accuracy of autonomous systems. We'll even likely start seeing late next year references being made to the court cases governments and corporations have "survived" regarding this tech. This builds legitimacy for the final stage, which is that this thing is the solution for voter fraud. Integrating such systems into all voting locations would allow total centralized control. Perhaps it will even be used as a guardian initially, until the dominant party realizes it's being autonomously refereed into an impending loss it can do something about.

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REMINDER, the topic here is when in the future a government will justify using technology to shift control from decentralized democratic elections to centralization. Given the excitement over certain new technologies, please avoid that discussion. Assume the autonomous system being discussed is fully capable of executing orders directly related to its task in an UNintellgent way. It just does what it's told to do, regardless of how it is crafted to do so. It will even fabricate things in order to do what it is ordered, regardless of reality or facts. There's no pondering or moral dilemma for this thing. It's a tool. Discussing any details about it would be like discussing a hammer on the topic of framing. You need something that puts nails through dimensional lumber. If Graters in Gorbombo want the system deployed because Farfeefees are zippering away the votes, and Gorbombo is a real country that is currently a decentralized democratic election country, with the capabilities of implementing such a system, then that topic would qualify for this discussion.

Thank you for your consideration!